Google’s Adam Bosworth writes a very enlightening piece on Why AJAX failed here. What he says about Ajax is perhaps true of many technology pieces. He essentially attributes failure to lack of complementary assets that are necessary and sometimes critical to get innovation to succeed. There’s a lesson here for all of us. Just because something is cool and exciting and innovative from a technology standpoint, doesn’t mean the users will lap it up.
In addition to the reasons mentioned by him, I guess there are 2 additional factors: One, there has to be a crisis or a real handicap that the users are facing and secondly, is that the new innovation has to reduce if not eliminate the pain of adoption. The non existence of the first and failing to do the second, is a recipe for failure. To be able to do this one has to be a sociologist, not a technologist.
The only issue that I would have with Adam’s piece is that all the assessment is all hind sight. And hindshight is always 20/20. How does one develop the knowledge and more importantly the wisdom to assess whether the new technology or innovation would be successful or a failure.
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